Selecting Investment Shares
 
With the uncertainty around at the moment it is important to invest in shares that are stable and producing an income to support their prices if the overall market starts moving down.
 
We want shares with good fundamentals and good technical structure. We continually monitor the technical structure of the share as part of our trading courses. Over the next few newsletters we will look at how to find shares with good business fundamentals. I'm not talking about reports, announcements etc. We are only interested in the hard facts of the industry: size, assets, debt, earnings and dividends.
 
The fundamentals we want are:
  1. A stable company with a good business structure.
  2. A company with an earnings history that will support share prices in the future.
  3. A company that is fairly priced.
  4. A company with acceptable debt that should not have financial problems in the future.
  5. A company with good income stream from dividends.
  6. A company with tax effective income with franking.
Part 1: A stable company with a good business structure.
  • We want companies of a reasonable size.
    As a rule smaller companies are more vulnerable to financial problems. However, I'm not suggesting that you just buy 'blue chip' stocks. The growth potential is often better in some of the smaller companies as long as our other selection criteria are met. There are plenty of good companies in the top 300 Australian shares. The company's size is indicated by its market capitalisation which is the number of shares multiplied by the price per share. This information is available from the Shares magazine or the Financial Review.
  • We want companies with a broad shareholder base.
    Companies with a small, tight shareholder base are susceptible to sudden unexpected price movements. The price movement of companies with a large diverse shareholder base is influenced by investors and traders with different expectations and trading requirements. You can have traders selling to take a profit and at the same time long term investors are buying for the dividends and long term capital growth. This type of diversity stabilises prices and makes them less erratic.We can manage our risk easier when share prices are moving in a more consistent manner.

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There is an element of risk in trading shares, options, futures, currencies and CFD's so money can be lost as well as made. Johnston Investment Management Pty Ltd take no responsibility for any loss arising from any action based on information provided.

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